Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.4%
Quevilly Rouen
28.3%
Draw
26.2%
Bastia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Quevilly Rouen
vs
0.80
Bastia
Markets
BTTS36.8%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.557.4%
Over 2.531.4%
Over 3.513.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.4%
0-0
13.0%
0-1
12.3%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
5.2%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
3.7%
2-2
3.0%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).