Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.9%
Southampton
24.6%
Draw
16.5%
Oxford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Southampton
vs
0.86
Oxford
Markets
BTTS49.0%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.9%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
4.2%
4-0
3.1%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).