Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.2%
Tondela
30.2%
Draw
26.7%
Boavista
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Tondela
vs
0.79
Boavista
Markets
BTTS36.0%
Over 0.585.6%
Over 1.556.0%
Over 2.529.5%
Over 3.512.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.1%
0-0
14.4%
1-1
12.6%
0-1
12.5%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
5.2%
0-2
4.7%
3-0
3.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).