Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.2%
Burton
24.8%
Draw
26.0%
Cheltenham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Burton
vs
0.94
Cheltenham
Markets
BTTS45.4%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.4%
1-1
11.5%
0-1
9.9%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.3%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
4.5%
3-1
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).