Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.8%
Everton
29.0%
Draw
15.3%
West Brom
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Everton
vs
0.69
West Brom
Markets
BTTS40.7%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.566.6%
Over 2.538.2%
Over 3.518.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.0%
1-1
13.1%
2-0
12.7%
0-0
12.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-0
6.4%
0-1
5.9%
3-1
4.5%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
3.0%
0-2
2.6%
4-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).