Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.0%
Hertha
23.5%
Draw
52.4%
RB Leipzig
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Hertha
vs
1.93
RB Leipzig
Markets
BTTS61.6%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.539.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
7.7%
0-1
7.4%
2-1
6.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-2
6.1%
0-3
5.0%
0-0
4.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-3
3.9%
2-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).