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DHT: 00CSV

06 May 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.9%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
28.7%
Draw
19.4%
Wurzburger Kickers

Expected Goals (xG)

1.49

Fortuna Dusseldorf

vs
0.82

Wurzburger Kickers

Markets

BTTS44.4%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.520.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.7%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
11.2%
2-0
11.0%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.0%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
5.0%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
3.3%
4-0
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).