Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.9%
Bastia
31.5%
Draw
39.6%
Sochaux
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
Bastia
vs
0.95
Sochaux
Markets
BTTS31.7%
Over 0.583.1%
Over 1.550.1%
Over 2.524.7%
Over 3.59.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.2%
0-0
16.9%
1-0
14.8%
1-1
12.0%
0-2
8.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-0
5.2%
2-1
5.0%
0-3
2.6%
2-2
2.4%
1-3
2.0%
3-0
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).