Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.7%
Exeter
22.4%
Draw
15.8%
Accrington
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Exeter
vs
0.67
Accrington
Markets
BTTS38.2%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.520.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.3%
2-0
13.4%
1-1
10.0%
0-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.6%
3-0
7.3%
3-1
4.9%
1-2
3.6%
4-0
3.0%
2-2
3.0%
0-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).