Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.6%
Nice
14.4%
Draw
8.1%
Montpellier
Expected Goals (xG)
2.51
Nice
vs
0.67
Montpellier
Markets
BTTS44.8%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.561.6%
Over 3.539.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.1%
3-0
10.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-0
6.8%
1-1
6.8%
4-1
4.6%
0-0
4.0%
5-0
3.4%
0-1
3.0%
2-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).