Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.0%
Valencia
27.9%
Draw
48.1%
Ath Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Valencia
vs
1.39
Ath Madrid
Markets
BTTS44.8%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.519.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.8%
1-1
12.9%
0-0
10.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
4.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-2
4.0%
2-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).