Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.0%
Harrogate
26.7%
Draw
47.3%
Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91
Harrogate
vs
1.34
Fleetwood Town
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.565.3%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.519.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.6%
1-1
12.3%
1-0
10.1%
0-0
9.9%
0-2
9.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
5.9%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.2%
2-2
3.9%
1-3
3.9%
3-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).