Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →82.6%
Paris SG
10.7%
Draw
6.7%
Metz
Expected Goals (xG)
3.17
Paris SG
vs
0.84
Metz
Markets
BTTS54.4%
Over 0.598.3%
Over 1.590.8%
Over 2.576.4%
Over 3.556.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
9.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
2-1
7.7%
4-0
7.6%
4-1
6.4%
1-0
5.9%
5-0
4.8%
1-1
4.7%
5-1
4.1%
3-2
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).