Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.8%
La Coruna
24.5%
Draw
28.6%
Sp Gijon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
La Coruna
vs
1.19
Sp Gijon
Markets
BTTS55.4%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.530.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
7.8%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.0%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).