Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.8%
RB Leipzig
15.8%
Draw
71.4%
Bayern Munich
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
RB Leipzig
vs
2.90
Bayern Munich
Markets
BTTS67.0%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.592.1%
Over 2.577.9%
Over 3.559.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.3%
1-3
8.1%
0-2
6.8%
0-3
6.6%
1-1
6.2%
1-4
5.8%
2-2
5.1%
2-3
4.9%
0-4
4.8%
0-1
4.3%
2-4
3.6%
2-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).