Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.2%
Port Vale
26.6%
Draw
46.2%
Mansfield
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Port Vale
vs
1.27
Mansfield
Markets
BTTS41.2%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.536.5%
Over 3.517.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.8%
1-1
12.0%
1-0
11.4%
0-0
10.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
5.8%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
3.9%
2-2
3.7%
1-3
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).