Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.4%
Stevenage
29.6%
Draw
24.0%
Macclesfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Stevenage
vs
0.75
Macclesfield
Markets
BTTS35.7%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.556.6%
Over 2.530.1%
Over 3.512.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.7%
0-0
14.2%
1-1
12.3%
0-1
11.5%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
4.8%
0-2
4.1%
3-0
3.9%
3-1
2.9%
2-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).