Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.7%
Stoke
23.5%
Draw
10.8%
Sheffield Weds
Expected Goals (xG)
1.77
Stoke
vs
0.58
Sheffield Weds
Markets
BTTS37.3%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.521.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.1%
2-0
15.0%
1-1
10.5%
0-0
10.2%
3-0
8.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
0-1
4.8%
4-0
3.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-2
2.5%
4-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).