Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.8%
Stoke
26.0%
Draw
53.2%
Fulham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Stoke
vs
1.67
Fulham
Markets
BTTS50.9%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.527.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
0-1
11.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
8.1%
1-0
6.1%
0-3
5.6%
2-1
5.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
3.3%
2-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).