Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.1%
Luton
22.7%
Draw
53.2%
Fulham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Luton
vs
2.20
Fulham
Markets
BTTS69.4%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.589.2%
Over 2.570.8%
Over 3.549.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.4%
1-2
9.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-2
6.6%
0-2
6.2%
2-1
6.0%
2-3
4.9%
0-3
4.6%
0-1
4.5%
0-0
3.7%
1-4
3.7%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).