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21 Dec 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.5%
Braintree Town
35.5%
Draw
39.0%
Hartlepool

Expected Goals (xG)

0.74

Braintree Town

vs
0.99

Hartlepool

Markets

BTTS33.9%
Over 0.581.1%
Over 1.552.6%
Over 2.525.0%
Over 3.59.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
18.9%
0-1
16.4%
1-1
14.1%
1-0
12.1%
0-2
8.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-0
4.9%
2-1
4.8%
0-3
2.8%
2-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
3-0
1.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).