Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.7%
Lugo
30.2%
Draw
47.1%
Cadiz
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
Lugo
vs
1.19
Cadiz
Markets
BTTS35.8%
Over 0.585.4%
Over 1.556.9%
Over 2.530.0%
Over 3.512.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.6%
0-0
14.6%
1-1
12.6%
1-0
10.8%
0-2
10.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
4.6%
0-3
4.1%
2-0
3.9%
1-3
3.0%
2-2
2.7%
0-4
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).