Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.0%
Macclesfield
26.4%
Draw
41.6%
Milton Keynes Dons
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Macclesfield
vs
1.30
Milton Keynes Dons
Markets
BTTS48.2%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
0-1
12.2%
1-0
10.5%
0-0
8.5%
1-2
8.4%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
3.7%
0-3
3.3%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).