Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.9%
Arouca
22.0%
Draw
55.1%
Gil Vicente
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Arouca
vs
1.82
Gil Vicente
Markets
BTTS54.9%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.533.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
10.5%
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-0
6.4%
1-3
6.0%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.5%
2-2
5.3%
0-0
5.0%
2-3
3.2%
2-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).