Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.6%
Leganes
29.1%
Draw
29.3%
Sp Gijon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Leganes
vs
0.94
Sp Gijon
Markets
BTTS42.3%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.562.7%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.516.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
11.7%
0-1
11.3%
2-0
8.4%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-0
3.3%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).