Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.1%
Barnsley
19.1%
Draw
28.8%
Leyton Orient
Expected Goals (xG)
2.21
Barnsley
vs
1.61
Leyton Orient
Markets
BTTS70.5%
Over 0.598.4%
Over 1.588.7%
Over 2.573.3%
Over 3.552.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
6.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-2
5.1%
0-1
4.2%
3-0
3.9%
2-3
3.7%
4-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).