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03 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.8%
FC Koln
26.0%
Draw
22.1%
Kidsgrove Athletic

Expected Goals (xG)

1.45

FC Koln

vs
0.84

Kidsgrove Athletic

Markets

BTTS43.0%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.566.2%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.519.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
10.7%
0-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.2%
3-0
5.1%
3-1
4.3%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
3.6%
4-0
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).