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05 May 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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84.7%
Rangers
10.5%
Draw
4.8%
Kilmarnock

Expected Goals (xG)

3.17

Rangers

vs
0.70

Kilmarnock

Markets

BTTS48.6%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.590.1%
Over 2.574.3%
Over 3.554.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
11.1%
2-0
10.4%
4-0
8.8%
3-1
7.8%
2-1
7.3%
1-0
6.3%
4-1
6.2%
5-0
5.6%
1-1
4.9%
5-1
3.9%
3-2
2.7%
2-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).