Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →87.9%
Hednesford Town
8.5%
Draw
3.6%
FC Koln
Expected Goals (xG)
3.18
Hednesford Town
vs
0.54
FC Koln
Markets
BTTS39.7%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.588.4%
Over 2.571.7%
Over 3.550.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
13.0%
2-0
12.3%
4-0
10.3%
1-0
7.9%
3-1
7.0%
2-1
6.6%
5-0
6.6%
4-1
5.6%
1-1
4.0%
5-1
3.5%
0-0
2.3%
3-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).