Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.7%
RB Leipzig
26.1%
Draw
20.3%
Hamburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
RB Leipzig
vs
0.94
Hamburg
Markets
BTTS50.3%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.2%
0-1
6.1%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
3-1
5.4%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).