Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.5%
Chievo
26.2%
Draw
14.4%
Cosenza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Chievo
vs
0.70
Cosenza
Markets
BTTS42.0%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.5%
2-0
13.0%
1-1
12.0%
0-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
7.2%
0-1
5.5%
3-1
5.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
3.0%
0-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).