Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.8%
Alaves
36.5%
Draw
23.7%
Eibar
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Alaves
vs
0.60
Eibar
Markets
BTTS25.9%
Over 0.577.0%
Over 1.542.9%
Over 2.518.2%
Over 3.56.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
23.0%
1-0
20.2%
0-1
13.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
5.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
3-0
2.5%
2-2
1.5%
3-1
1.5%
0-3
0.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).