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AHT: 02CSV

24 Aug 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.4%
Forfar
28.6%
Draw
38.0%
Edinburgh City

Expected Goals (xG)

1.42

Forfar

vs
1.53

Edinburgh City

Markets

BTTS61.5%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.534.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
0-0
7.3%
2-2
6.2%
0-2
6.1%
0-1
5.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-0
5.3%
1-3
4.4%
3-1
3.8%
2-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).