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21 Sept 2024 · 14:00

Genoa

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.0%
Venezia
26.8%
Draw
47.2%
Genoa

Expected Goals (xG)

0.95

Venezia

vs
1.39

Genoa

Markets

BTTS45.8%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.567.6%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.520.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.6%
1-1
12.5%
0-0
9.4%
1-0
9.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-3
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).