Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.2%
Hoffenheim
19.4%
Draw
15.4%
Werder Bremen
Expected Goals (xG)
2.39
Hoffenheim
vs
1.10
Werder Bremen
Markets
BTTS61.3%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.586.9%
Over 2.567.7%
Over 3.546.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.6%
2-0
8.7%
1-1
8.6%
3-1
7.6%
3-0
6.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
5.3%
4-1
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-0
4.1%
0-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).