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01 Feb 2020 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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77.0%
Stockport
16.1%
Draw
6.8%
Dover Athletic

Expected Goals (xG)

2.44

Stockport

vs
0.62

Dover Athletic

Markets

BTTS42.6%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.558.9%
Over 3.536.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
14.0%
3-0
11.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.6%
1-1
7.7%
3-1
7.0%
4-0
7.0%
0-0
5.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-0
3.4%
2-2
2.7%
0-1
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).