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AHT: 02CSV

01 Feb 2020 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.4%
Sochaux
20.5%
Draw
60.1%
Lorient

Expected Goals (xG)

0.94

Sochaux

vs
1.87

Lorient

Markets

BTTS50.7%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.553.3%
Over 3.531.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.1%
0-2
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
1-1
9.7%
0-3
6.6%
1-0
6.5%
1-3
6.2%
0-0
5.2%
2-1
5.0%
2-2
4.7%
0-4
3.1%
2-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).