Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.3%
Wolves
26.0%
Draw
55.7%
Man United
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Wolves
vs
1.81
Man United
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
0-1
9.8%
0-0
7.8%
0-3
6.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-1
5.2%
2-2
4.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-0
2.9%
2-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).