Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.5%
Maritimo
25.8%
Draw
42.7%
Guimaraes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Maritimo
vs
1.35
Guimaraes
Markets
BTTS49.3%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
0-1
12.0%
1-0
10.0%
1-2
8.6%
0-0
7.9%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).