Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.1%
Lyon
12.2%
Draw
9.6%
St Etienne
Expected Goals (xG)
3.07
Lyon
vs
1.03
St Etienne
Markets
BTTS60.9%
Over 0.598.6%
Over 1.591.2%
Over 2.577.5%
Over 3.558.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-0
8.0%
2-0
7.8%
4-1
6.3%
4-0
6.1%
1-0
5.4%
1-1
5.0%
3-2
4.2%
2-2
4.1%
5-1
3.9%
5-0
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).