Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.6%
Wigan
25.4%
Draw
39.0%
Plymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Wigan
vs
1.24
Plymouth
Markets
BTTS47.8%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.2%
1-1
11.9%
1-0
11.6%
1-2
8.1%
0-0
7.9%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
3.0%
0-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).