Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.5%
Le Havre
29.5%
Draw
14.9%
Nancy
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Le Havre
vs
0.45
Nancy
Markets
BTTS24.5%
Over 0.581.5%
Over 1.548.1%
Over 2.522.8%
Over 3.58.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
23.9%
0-0
18.5%
2-0
13.7%
0-1
9.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-0
5.4%
3-1
2.5%
1-2
2.4%
0-2
2.0%
4-0
1.6%
2-2
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).