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27 Sept 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.6%
Halesowen Town
28.2%
Draw
16.2%
Staveley MW

Expected Goals (xG)

1.31

Halesowen Town

vs
0.56

Staveley MW

Markets

BTTS30.9%
Over 0.584.9%
Over 1.555.4%
Over 2.528.8%
Over 3.512.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
20.6%
0-0
15.1%
2-0
13.3%
1-1
10.9%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
7.4%
3-0
5.8%
3-1
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
0-2
2.4%
2-2
2.1%
4-0
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).