Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.9%
Sutton
23.6%
Draw
23.5%
Harrogate
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Sutton
vs
1.00
Harrogate
Markets
BTTS50.4%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.527.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
0-1
7.7%
0-0
6.6%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.3%
3-1
5.2%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).