Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.9%
Wrexham
18.9%
Draw
8.2%
Harrogate
Expected Goals (xG)
2.16
Wrexham
vs
0.60
Harrogate
Markets
BTTS40.5%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.552.1%
Over 3.529.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.8%
1-0
13.0%
3-0
10.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
0-0
7.0%
3-1
6.4%
4-0
5.8%
4-1
3.4%
0-1
3.1%
2-2
2.6%
5-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).