Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.0%
Genclerbirligi
37.1%
Draw
29.9%
Samsunspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Genclerbirligi
vs
1.00
Samsunspor
Markets
BTTS44.7%
Over 0.583.9%
Over 1.564.4%
Over 2.534.0%
Over 3.515.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
16.9%
0-0
16.1%
1-0
10.1%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
7.2%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-1
2.5%
3-0
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).