Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →87.4%
Monaco
8.8%
Draw
3.7%
Montpellier
Expected Goals (xG)
3.11
Monaco
vs
0.53
Montpellier
Markets
BTTS39.1%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.587.7%
Over 2.570.4%
Over 3.549.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
13.2%
2-0
12.7%
4-0
10.3%
1-0
8.3%
3-1
7.0%
2-1
6.7%
5-0
6.4%
4-1
5.4%
1-1
4.2%
5-1
3.4%
0-0
2.5%
3-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).