Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.0%
Ingolstadt
24.1%
Draw
60.9%
Paderborn
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Ingolstadt
vs
1.86
Paderborn
Markets
BTTS48.3%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.528.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.8%
0-1
11.7%
1-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
7.9%
0-3
7.3%
1-3
6.0%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.3%
2-2
4.0%
0-4
3.4%
1-4
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).