Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.9%
Ascoli
23.5%
Draw
10.6%
Lecco
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
Ascoli
vs
0.60
Lecco
Markets
BTTS38.9%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.543.7%
Over 3.522.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
2-0
14.7%
1-1
10.7%
0-0
9.8%
3-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-1
5.4%
0-1
4.4%
4-0
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-2
2.7%
4-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).