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AHT: 11CSV

22 Oct 2022 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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14.6%
Ibiza
21.3%
Draw
64.1%
Levante

Expected Goals (xG)

0.77

Ibiza

vs
1.89

Levante

Markets

BTTS45.5%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.3%
0-2
12.5%
1-1
10.1%
1-2
9.6%
0-3
7.9%
0-0
6.9%
1-3
6.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.9%
0-4
3.7%
2-2
3.7%
1-4
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).